Expected Arch Madness results
Below are the chances of each team making it to Saturday, Sunday and winning the whole thing. The data is drawn from Ken Pomeroy’s web site. If you don’t know who Pomeroy is by now, you’re living in the dark ages.
| Saturday | Sunday | Champion | |
| Southern Illinois | 83.0% | 58.1% | 33.7% |
| Creighton | 76.8% | 37.4% | 19.0% |
| Missouri St. | 71.0% | 44.7% | 25.9% |
| Bradley | 62.2% | 25.0% | 10.5% |
| Northern Iowa | 37.8% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Wichita State | 29.0% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| Illinois State | 19.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Evansville | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Drake | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Indiana State | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Thanks to Jacob W. for compiling this for the Ledger.